Examining California nursing home profitability and related factors before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The financial status of nursing homes (NHs) is a policy concern, especially during a pandemic, because of the higher costs associated with infection prevention and resident care.

METHODS: This exploratory study was designed to assess the impact of the federal and state COVID-19 funding support on California NHs profitability during 2020, the first year of the pandemic, compared with 2019, the last pre-pandemic year. The study examined the association of Medicare and Medicaid days, related-party transactions, as well as other facility characteristics on net income profit margins, using cross-sectional regression analysis of data from state NH cost reports and federal NH provider data for 2019 and 2020.

RESULTS: California skilled NHs had average reported net income profit margins of 2.26% in 2019 and 7.0% in 2020 with wide variations (from a loss of about 48% to a gain of 74% in 2020). Regression analysis found that the number of beds, occupancy rates, high-quality rating scores, and medium and high proportions of Medicare resident days were positively associated with net income margins in 2019 and 2020. Chains in 2020 (but not 2019), related-party expenditures in 2019 and 2020, median Medicaid days (in 2019), high Medicaid resident days (71%-73% or higher) in 2019 and 2020, and medium and high managed care resident days were negatively associated with net income margins in both years.

CONCLUSIONS: Although NH admissions and occupancy rates declined substantially between 2019 and 2020, some (but not all) California NHs had a substantial increase in profit margins in 2020 over 2019. More studies of nursing home financial patterns and profitability are needed to examine trends over time and variations across states.